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February 11, 2025

Bitcoin Dominance’s Impact on Altcoin Recovery: A Look at XLM and ALGO Trading Strategies

Bitcoin Dominance’s Impact on Altcoin Recovery: A Look at XLM and ALGO Trading Strategies

Bitcoin’s dominance has been a hot topic in the crypto scene, right? It seems to dictate where the altcoin market heads next. As Bitcoin’s grip on the market fluctuates, altcoins like Stellar (XLM) and Algorand (ALGO) are in the crosshairs for potential rebounds or further declines. Let’s dive into how Bitcoin dominance is shaping altcoin performance, the current market state, and some trading strategies that might help us ride the wave.

Bitcoin Dominance Explained

When we talk about Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D), we’re referring to Bitcoin’s market cap in relation to the entire cryptocurrency market. If Bitcoin dominance goes up, it usually means folks are favoring Bitcoin over altcoins, which leads to a dip in altcoin prices. On the flip side, a drop in Bitcoin dominance can signal an altcoin season, where projects like XLM and ALGO start to bounce back.

Looking back, every time Bitcoin dominance has taken a hit, it often means an altcoin rally is on the horizon. For example, in 2021, a drop below a key resistance level for Bitcoin dominance initiated a massive altcoin rally. Currently, we’re seeing Bitcoin dominance hovering around 61%, a level we haven’t seen in almost four years, making it pretty tough for altcoins to kick into gear.

The current market trends suggest that some altcoins are finally crawling back from their deep dive. Both XLM and ALGO have seen a bit of a surge, climbing over 5% within the last 24 hours after enduring 30-day declines of 22% and 17%, respectively. This uptick can be attributed to Bitcoin dominance’s mild decline of 0.61% recently.

Stellar (XLM)

Looking at XLM, its daily chart shows a bull flag pattern that formed after a steep rejection from its November high of $0.63. The subsequent fall brought XLM down to $0.26, where it found some support at the lower trendline of the flag. Now, XLM is inching back up toward $0.33, which could indicate a bullish turn. The MACD is showing a bullish crossover too, adding weight to the argument for a possible uptrend.

If XLM keeps this momentum, it will hit resistance at the 100-day SMA first. Breaking through this level could lead to a retest of the upper boundary of the flag near $0.43, potentially setting the stage for a rally toward $0.63 in the weeks ahead.

Algorand (ALGO)

Similarly, Algorand (ALGO) appears to be forming a bull flag. After a sharp rejection at $0.61, ALGO corrected to $0.263, finding support at the flag’s lower trendline. Currently, ALGO is rebounding to $0.30, suggesting a potential bullish reversal. The MACD also shows a bullish crossover, hinting at increased buying interest.

If ALGO can maintain its current momentum, the next big resistance is at the 100-day SMA. A breakout above this level would indicate a retest of the upper resistance of the flag near $0.39. If ALGO manages to break above this structure, it could aim for the December high of $0.61, signaling a full recovery.

Trading Strategies for Altcoin Recovery

If you’re looking to take advantage of potential trend reversals of XLM and ALGO, there are a few strategies you might consider.

Mean Reversion

Mean reversion strategies are based on the idea that prices usually return to their average following significant moves. Tools like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) can help identify overbought or oversold conditions for XLM or ALGO, signaling where potential reversals could occur.

Trend Following

Trend following strategies involve spotting and going with the current market trend. Moving averages can help determine which way the trend is heading. For example, if the 5-day MA crosses above the 20-day MA, it may signal an uptrend, prompting traders to buy.

Risk Management

In the volatile world of cryptocurrency, risk management is crucial. Traders should set stop-loss orders to limit risk exposure, manage their trade sizes, and maybe even hedge their positions to mitigate potential losses.

Summary

XLM and ALGO are showing signs of resilience at their support levels, hinting at a potential trend reversal. But their next moves will heavily depend on the broader market, particularly Bitcoin dominance. If Bitcoin dominance continues its decline, altcoins like XLM and ALGO could gain additional momentum.

Traders should keep a close watch on key resistance levels and trading volume to assess whether this recovery has enough strength to develop into a full-scale trend reversal. By utilizing effective trading strategies and keeping an eye on market indicators, investors can navigate the complexities of the cryptocurrency exchange market and seize potential opportunities.

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Egor Romanov
About Author

Egor Romanov is an experienced crypto analyst, professional trader, and author of trading strategies and the Cryptorobotics blog, where he shares his knowledge about cryptocurrencies and financial markets.

Alina Tukaeva
About Proofreader

Alina Tukaeva is a leading expert in the field of cryptocurrencies and FinTech, with extensive experience in business development and project management. Alina is created a training course for beginners in cryptocurrency.

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