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November 19, 2024

Bitcoin’s Euphoric Phase: Riding the Wave or Getting Wrecked?

Bitcoin’s Euphoric Phase: Riding the Wave or Getting Wrecked?

Bitcoin is in what they call a “euphoric phase” right now. Prices are soaring, and everyone seems to be making money—99.3% of Bitcoin’s unspent transaction outputs (UTXOs) are reportedly in profit. Sounds like a no-brainer to jump in, right? Well, hold your horses; it’s not all sunshine and rainbows. Let’s dive into the details.

What the Heck is a Euphoric Phase?

According to Ki Young Ju, CEO of CryptoQuant, a euphoric phase is when Bitcoin enters a parabolic price pattern characterized by significant profitability and speculative behavior. Basically, it’s that time when everyone thinks they’re a trading genius because their portfolio is all green. But here’s the kicker: these phases usually end with massive corrections.

The Good: Potential for Insane Gains

First off, let’s look at the upside. Bitcoin has already shown some serious bullish momentum. If this euphoric phase extends—as past cycles suggest—it could mean even higher prices. We might be talking about new all-time highs here!

And let’s not forget about participation from both retail and institutional investors. This influx can create an even bigger demand cycle as more people pile in thinking they’re getting in “early.”

The Bad: Risks of Short-Term Trading Cryptocurrency

Now onto the dark side of this euphoric phase. The market can become overextended; parabolic patterns often lead to unsustainable valuations. And guess what? That makes sharp corrections almost inevitable.

If you’re thinking about shorting Bitcoin during this period, just know that history shows many investors have gotten wrecked trying to do so at the wrong time.

Ju also pointed out that even during past euphoric phases—when things looked super bullish—Bitcoin has experienced drops of 10-25%. So yeah, tread carefully.

Strategies for Different Types of Investors

Long-Term Holders

For those like me who believe in Bitcoin’s future:

  1. Stay invested.
  2. Maybe take some partial profits as we approach key resistance levels.

Short-Term Traders

If you’re one of those people who trades on minute charts:

  1. Be extra cautious about shorting right now.
  2. Keep an eye on key support and resistance levels.

Ju identified some crucial price levels to watch:
Support: $83K–$85K and $72K–$75K
Potential Upside: New all-time highs if bullish momentum continues

AI: Your Friend or Foe?

Another interesting angle Ju brought up is using AI for crypto trading. While I’m skeptical about blindly following bots—emotions are part of trading!—there’s no denying that AI can process huge amounts of data quickly.

But let’s not kid ourselves; relying solely on automated strategies without understanding what you’re doing can be just as risky as going all-in on an obscure altcoin because some influencer told you to.

Final Thoughts: Stay Smart Out There

So there you have it folks! Bitcoin’s current euphoric phase offers some juicy opportunities but also comes with its own set of risks and challenges—especially if you’re inexperienced or trying to get into crypto trading right now.

Understand your risk tolerance and maybe consult more than one source before diving headfirst into this crazy market!

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Alina Garaeva
About Author

Alina Garaeva: a crypto trader, blog author, and head of support at Cryptorobotics. Expert in trading and training.

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Alina Tukaeva
About Proofreader

Alina Tukaeva is a leading expert in the field of cryptocurrencies and FinTech, with extensive experience in business development and project management. Alina is created a training course for beginners in cryptocurrency.

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